The marketsThe markets

The Finnish and Baltic economies have all experienced strong economic growth in the past year. Growth has been particularly strong in the Baltics. In the section below we have gathered a broad range of macroeconomic data covering Finland, Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania.

The Finnish economy
The Finnish economy is on a path of continued growth and stability:

  • GDP growth of approx. 3% expected in 2007-2008 after 5% in 2006
  • Further decrease in the unemployment rate expected
  • Public sector share of GDP expected to remain relatively stable
  • Growth is accompanied by rising inflation, although it is coming from a low base and is converging with EU levels
  • Real house prices in Finland rose by approx. 6% p.a. from 1995-2004, against approx. 4% in Denmark during the same period, with a recent acceleration in price increases, in particular in the Helsinki region

Finland



Finland
Population, total (millions)
5.2
Population growth (annual %)
0.3
GDP (current US$, billions)
193.2
GDP growth (annual %)
5.5
GNI per capita, Atlas method (current US$)
37,460
Inflation, consumer prices (annual %)
1.6
Unemployment, total (% of total labour force)
7.9
Internet users (per 1,000 people)
628.5
Sovereign debt rating (Moody's/S&P)
AAA/AAA

Source: The World Bank.

The Finnish banking market
The Finnish banking market is seeing a positive business environment driving growth. This is due to good macroeconomic conditions and strong consumer confidence. The market is also characterised by good credit quality.

The Finnish banking sector is more profitable and cost-effective than the EU sector overall due to the rapid adaptation of new technology, expansion of banking markets and the rationalisation of the banking sector after the crisis in the early 1990s. However, as on most other markets, margins are under pressure because of intense competition among banks.

Finnish banks have succeeded in using technology to reduce cost and improve efficiency:

  • Internet penetration ratio is very high in the region
  • Banks and their customers is open to innovations
  • Banks have been able to price their services and to induce customers towards greater use of technology
  • Among the Nordic countries, Finland leads in the number of credit transfers per capita
  • High technology usage have resulted in a reduction of the number of ATMs and the number of employees per capita
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Deposit margins                                                 Lending margins

Graph


Graph

Source: Bank of Finland, OECD.

Source: Euroframe, Concensus Economics and Statistics Finland, central bank data.

The Baltic economies
The Baltic countries have shown strong economic growth over the past few years. It is expected to slow in the near future, but will still be at comparatively high levels. Lending levels, both retail and corporate, have risen significantly.


Estonia



Estonia
Population, total (millions)
1.3
Population growth (annual %)
-0.3
GDP (current US$, billions)
13.11
GDP growth (annual %)
9.8
GNI per capita, Atlas method (current US$)
9100
Inflation, consumer prices (annual %)
4.1
Unemployment, total (% of total labour force)
10.0
Internet users (per 1,000 people)
497
Sovereign debt rating (Moody's/S&P)
A1/A
Source: The World Bank.



Latvia


Latvia
Population, total (millions)
2,3
Population growth (annual %)
-0.6
GDP (current US$, billions)
15.77
GDP growth (annual %)
10.2
GNI per capita, Atlas method (current US$)
6760
Inflation, consumer prices (annual %)
6.8
Unemployment, total (% of total labour force)
10.6
Internet users (per 1,000 people)
350
Sovereign debt rating (Moody's/S&P)
A2/A-
Source: The World Bank.



Lithuania



Lithuania
Population, total (millions)
3.4
Population growth (annual %)
-0.6
GDP (current US$, billions)
25.50
GDP growth (annual %)
7.3
GNI per capita, Atlas method (current US$)
7050
Inflation, consumer prices (annual %)
2.7
Unemployment, total (% of total labour force)
12.4
Internet users (per 1,000 people)
282
Sovereign debt rating (Moody's/S&P)
A3/A
Source: The World Bank.



Graph



Source: Euroframe, Concensus Economics and Statistics Finland, central bank data.

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The markets
Read the presentation for further information about the Finnish and Baltic macroeconomics and the banking sectors (made at the time of the acquisition)

The markets (PDF 351KB)